Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.058820 0.066706 0.074847 0.083851 0.093499 0.103499 0.114619
2025-04-27 0.044258 0.055599 0.068011 0.082460 0.098678 0.116192 0.136407
2025-05-04 0.037277 0.050876 0.066456 0.085293 0.107136 0.131382 0.160051
2025-05-11 0.030483 0.045133 0.062664 0.084601 0.110772 0.140503 0.176357
2025-05-18 0.026614 0.042291 0.061753 0.086794 0.117338 0.152655 0.195872
2025-05-25 0.023267 0.039619 0.060644 0.088396 0.122924 0.163466 0.213703
2025-06-01 0.018974 0.035110 0.056725 0.086087 0.123417 0.167974 0.223920
2025-06-08 0.015482 0.031246 0.053257 0.084003 0.123897 0.172242 0.233671
2025-06-15 0.013868 0.029933 0.053075 0.086063 0.129487 0.182667 0.250795
2025-06-22 0.012131 0.028196 0.052126 0.086965 0.133503 0.191103 0.265494
2025-06-29 0.011442 0.028061 0.053413 0.090861 0.141386 0.204362 0.286134
2025-07-06 0.009959 0.026388 0.052303 0.091352 0.144747 0.211929 0.299784
2025-07-13 0.009731 0.027028 0.054858 0.097281 0.155734 0.229672 0.326745
2025-07-20 0.007754 0.024196 0.051947 0.095400 0.156328 0.234322 0.337636
2025-07-27 0.007018 0.023619 0.052492 0.098445 0.163550 0.247476 0.359219
2025-08-03 0.005697 0.021592 0.050524 0.097681 0.165493 0.253783 0.372188
2025-08-10 0.005062 0.020919 0.050716 0.100077 0.171765 0.265710 0.392295
2025-08-17 0.004408 0.020065 0.050517 0.101826 0.177110 0.276428 0.410893
2025-08-24 0.003306 0.017800 0.047642 0.099304 0.176324 0.278980 0.418985
2025-08-31 0.002432 0.015803 0.045034 0.097026 0.175754 0.281727 0.427261
2025-09-07 0.002123 0.015372 0.045295 0.099277 0.181675 0.293146 0.446767
2025-09-14 0.001746 0.014585 0.044799 0.100263 0.185744 0.302081 0.463080
2025-09-21 0.001663 0.014808 0.046294 0.104516 0.194612 0.317534 0.487938